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Southwest/SouthSafeRural
Morden-Winkler
MLA: Carrie Hiebert · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.
Progressive Conservative>99% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 58.6% projected vote>99%
2023 result
- Carrie Hiebert · Progressive Conservativeelected5,13573.5%
- Ken Friesen · Manitoba NDP1,60022.9%
- Mattison Froese · Liberal2543.6%
- Margin
- 50.6%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 44.0%
- Registered
- 15,875
2019 result
- Cameron Friesen · Progressive Conservativeelected6,10980.9%
- Mike Urichuk · Green80410.6%
- Robin Dalloo · Manitoba NDP3654.8%
- David Mintz · Liberal2773.7%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.
- Median household income
- $71,00041 of 57
- Renters
- 28.9%23 of 57
- Bachelor's or higher
- 14.5%42 of 57
- Median age
- 35.243 of 57
- Over 65
- 16.2%28 of 57
- Visible minority
- 9.3%38 of 57
- Immigrants
- 23.2%18 of 57
- Indigenous identity
- 4.1%56 of 57
- Unemployment
- 5.6%51 of 57
Closest races, Southwest/South
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.