← Map
Southwest/SouthLeanRural
Portage la Prairie
MLA: Jeff Bereza · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.
Progressive Conservative83% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 49.1% projected vote83%
- Manitoba NDP · 43.1% projected vote17%
2023 result
- Jeff Bereza · Progressive Conservativeelected3,81659.6%
- Acacia Weselake · Manitoba NDP1,91830.0%
- Arishya Aggarwal · Green3675.7%
- Ralph Dooley · Liberal3014.7%
- Margin
- 29.6%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 46.4%
- Registered
- 13,809
2019 result
- Ian Wishart · Progressive Conservativeelected4,50265.7%
- Andrew Podolecki · Manitoba NDP1,50822.0%
- Charles Huband · Liberal84512.3%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.
- Median household income
- $72,50038 of 57
- Renters
- 28.5%25 of 57
- Bachelor's or higher
- 14.0%43 of 57
- Median age
- 38.825 of 57
- Over 65
- 17.4%23 of 57
- Visible minority
- 7.3%39 of 57
- Immigrants
- 7.3%45 of 57
- Indigenous identity
- 32.2%8 of 57
- Unemployment
- 7.2%38 of 57
Closest races, Southwest/South
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.