Spruce Woods
MLA: Colleen Robbins · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.
Progressive Conservative98% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 49.3% projected vote98%
- Manitoba NDP · 36.7% projected vote2%
2025 by-election
Shown for the record. The projection starts from the 2023 general election instead; where a by-election changed the seat's party, the new member's personal vote is added to that party.
- Colleen Robbins · Progressive Conservativeelected2,80546.9%
- Ray Berthelette · Manitoba NDP2,73545.7%
- Stephen Reid · Liberal4457.4%
2023 result
- Grant Jackson · Progressive Conservativeelected4,98661.8%
- Melissa Ghidoni · Manitoba NDP1,93624.0%
- Michelle Budiwski · Liberal1,14514.2%
- Margin
- 37.8%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 56.1%
- Registered
- 14,379
2019 result
- Cliff Cullen · Progressive Conservativeelected5,66568.1%
- Justin Shannon · Manitoba NDP1,32115.9%
- Gordon Beddome · Green8209.8%
- Jennifer Harcus · Liberal5176.2%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.
- Median household income
- $85,00024 of 57
- Renters
- 22.6%36 of 57
- Bachelor's or higher
- 16.0%37 of 57
- Median age
- 40.820 of 57
- Over 65
- 19.4%18 of 57
- Visible minority
- 4.7%42 of 57
- Immigrants
- 6.9%48 of 57
- Indigenous identity
- 9.8%38 of 57
- Unemployment
- 5.4%52 of 57
Closest races, Southwest/South
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.