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Southwest/SouthSafeUrban
Brandon West
MLA: Wayne Balcaen · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.
Manitoba NDP>99% chance of winning
- Manitoba NDP · 58.3% projected vote>99%
2023 result
- Wayne Balcaen · Progressive Conservativeelected3,81448.8%
- Quentin Robinson · Manitoba NDP3,72547.6%
- Bill Marsh · Green2843.6%
- Margin
- 1.1%
- Tier
- Toss-up
- Turnout
- 51.4%
- Registered
- 15,232
2019 result
- Reg Helwer · Progressive Conservativeelected4,31158.4%
- Nick Brown · Manitoba NDP1,75723.8%
- Robert Brown · Green74810.1%
- Sunday Frangi · Liberal5677.7%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.
- Median household income
- $85,00022 of 57
- Renters
- 33.3%19 of 57
- Bachelor's or higher
- 23.8%22 of 57
- Median age
- 37.634 of 57
- Over 65
- 16.1%29 of 57
- Visible minority
- 18.8%26 of 57
- Immigrants
- 15.8%32 of 57
- Indigenous identity
- 11.6%35 of 57
- Unemployment
- 6.7%45 of 57
Closest races, Southwest/South
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.