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St. Johns
MLA: Nahanni Fontaine · Manitoba NDP
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.
Manitoba NDP>99% chance of winning
- Manitoba NDP · 84.3% projected vote>99%
2023 result
- Nahanni Fontaine · Manitoba NDPelected4,26260.8%
- Patrick Allard · Independent1,11715.9%
- Teddy Rubenstein · Progressive Conservative1,10115.7%
- Dennis Yaeger · Liberal5357.6%
- Margin
- 44.8%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 46.8%
- Registered
- 15,003
2019 result
- Nahanni Fontaine · Manitoba NDPelected3,54851.9%
- Ray Larkin · Progressive Conservative1,67424.5%
- Eddie Calisto-Tavares · Liberal1,11116.3%
- Joshua McNeil · Green5067.4%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.
- Median household income
- $72,50039 of 57
- Renters
- 35.5%15 of 57
- Bachelor's or higher
- 19.9%30 of 57
- Median age
- 38.033 of 57
- Over 65
- 13.4%43 of 57
- Visible minority
- 28.9%18 of 57
- Immigrants
- 24.9%15 of 57
- Indigenous identity
- 21.6%11 of 57
- Unemployment
- 11.1%7 of 57
Closest races, Winnipeg
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.