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St. James

MLA: Adrien Sala · Manitoba NDP

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.

Manitoba NDP>99% chance of winning

  • Manitoba NDP · 75.7% projected vote>99%

2023 result

  • Adrien Sala · Manitoba NDPelected5,44864.8%
  • Tim Diack · Progressive Conservative2,32627.7%
  • Randell Cacayuran · Liberal6317.5%
Margin
37.1%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
54.4%
Registered
15,442

2019 result

  • Adrien Sala · Manitoba NDPelected4,00247.3%
  • Michelle Richard · Progressive Conservative2,78132.8%
  • Bernd Hohne · Liberal88010.4%
  • Jeff Buhse · Green8069.5%

Division at a glance

2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.

Median household income
$78,00033 of 57
Renters
28.8%24 of 57
Bachelor's or higher
25.1%21 of 57
Median age
38.827 of 57
Over 65
13.6%40 of 57
Visible minority
28.9%17 of 57
Immigrants
23.4%17 of 57
Indigenous identity
12.4%34 of 57
Unemployment
8.8%21 of 57

Closest races, Winnipeg

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.