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Lagimodière

MLA: Tyler Blashko · Manitoba NDP

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.

Manitoba NDP>99% chance of winning

  • Manitoba NDP · 59.1% projected vote>99%

2023 result

  • Tyler Blashko · Manitoba NDPelected5,71146.2%
  • Andrew Smith · Progressive Conservative5,59945.3%
  • Walt Nilsson · Liberal1,0418.4%
Margin
0.9%
Tier
Toss-up
Turnout
63.8%
Registered
19,367

2019 result

  • Andrew Smith · Progressive Conservativeelected5,18751.8%
  • Billie Cross · Manitoba NDP2,79227.9%
  • Jake Sacher · Liberal1,48114.8%
  • Bob Krul · Green5575.6%

Division at a glance

2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.

Median household income
$114,0002 of 57
Renters
18.7%43 of 57
Bachelor's or higher
36.3%8 of 57
Median age
39.623 of 57
Over 65
14.8%32 of 57
Visible minority
31.4%15 of 57
Immigrants
23.9%16 of 57
Indigenous identity
8.5%46 of 57
Unemployment
7.1%39 of 57

Closest races, Winnipeg

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.