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MLA: Mike Moroz · Manitoba NDP
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.
Manitoba NDP>99% chance of winning
- Manitoba NDP · 57.7% projected vote>99%
2023 result
- Mike Moroz · Manitoba NDPelected5,04744.2%
- Jon Gerrard · Liberal4,40438.6%
- Tim Burt · Progressive Conservative1,80715.8%
- Nathan Zahn · Green1581.4%
- Margin
- 5.6%
- Tier
- Swing
- Turnout
- 67.3%
- Registered
- 16,951
2019 result
- Jon Gerrard · Liberalelected5,88453.8%
- Susan Boulter · Progressive Conservative2,70224.7%
- Jonathan Niemczak · Manitoba NDP1,59514.6%
- Nathan Zahn · Green7576.9%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.
- Median household income
- $102,0007 of 57
- Renters
- 28.2%26 of 57
- Bachelor's or higher
- 49.3%1 of 57
- Median age
- 42.813 of 57
- Over 65
- 18.3%20 of 57
- Visible minority
- 12.5%34 of 57
- Immigrants
- 15.3%33 of 57
- Indigenous identity
- 6.2%52 of 57
- Unemployment
- 7.4%34 of 57
Closest races, Winnipeg
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.