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MLA: JD Devgan · Manitoba NDP
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.
Manitoba NDP>99% chance of winning
- Manitoba NDP · 60.1% projected vote>99%
2023 result
- JD Devgan · Manitoba NDPelected4,90547.3%
- Sheilah Restall · Progressive Conservative4,58044.2%
- Umar Hayat · Liberal8868.5%
- Margin
- 3.1%
- Tier
- Toss-up
- Turnout
- 54.1%
- Registered
- 19,162
2019 result
- Shannon Martin · Progressive Conservativeelected3,35938.2%
- Greg McFarlane · Manitoba NDP3,27137.2%
- John Cacayuran · Liberal1,50617.1%
- Jason Smith · Green4144.7%
- Dave Wheeler · Other2452.8%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.
- Median household income
- $94,00013 of 57
- Renters
- 27.6%28 of 57
- Bachelor's or higher
- 27.5%16 of 57
- Median age
- 38.031 of 57
- Over 65
- 16.6%25 of 57
- Visible minority
- 44.6%8 of 57
- Immigrants
- 36.5%7 of 57
- Indigenous identity
- 8.3%47 of 57
- Unemployment
- 8.6%24 of 57
Closest races, Winnipeg
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.