Transcona
MLA: Shannon Corbett · Manitoba NDP
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.
Manitoba NDP>99% chance of winning
- Manitoba NDP · 71.0% projected vote>99%
2025 by-election
Shown for the record. The projection starts from the 2023 general election instead; where a by-election changed the seat's party, the new member's personal vote is added to that party.
- Shannon Corbett · Manitoba NDPelected3,61664.5%
- Shawn Nason · Progressive Conservative1,56928.0%
- Brad Boudreau · Liberal2173.9%
- Susan Auch · Independent2083.7%
2023 result
- Nello Altomare · Manitoba NDPelected5,23558.5%
- Titi Tijani · Progressive Conservative3,17235.5%
- Arthur Bloomfield · Liberal5416.0%
- Margin
- 23.1%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 51.1%
- Registered
- 17,498
2019 result
- Nello Altomare · Manitoba NDPelected4,03046.4%
- Blair Yakimoski · Progressive Conservative3,91845.1%
- Dylan Bekkering · Liberal7348.4%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.
- Median household income
- $88,00020 of 57
- Renters
- 18.9%42 of 57
- Bachelor's or higher
- 16.9%36 of 57
- Median age
- 38.428 of 57
- Over 65
- 14.1%34 of 57
- Visible minority
- 18.4%28 of 57
- Immigrants
- 16.4%30 of 57
- Indigenous identity
- 14.5%26 of 57
- Unemployment
- 8.5%25 of 57
Closest races, Winnipeg
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.