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MLA: Matt Wiebe · Manitoba NDP
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.
Manitoba NDP>99% chance of winning
- Manitoba NDP · 77.0% projected vote>99%
2023 result
- Matt Wiebe · Manitoba NDPelected4,23564.5%
- Alex Rogers · Progressive Conservative1,84828.1%
- Trish Rawsthorne · Liberal4817.3%
- Margin
- 36.4%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 43.7%
- Registered
- 15,018
2019 result
- Matt Wiebe · Manitoba NDPelected4,30559.7%
- Andrew Frank · Progressive Conservative2,29531.8%
- Maria Albo · Liberal6128.5%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.
- Median household income
- $72,50037 of 57
- Renters
- 37.8%12 of 57
- Bachelor's or higher
- 17.7%35 of 57
- Median age
- 36.439 of 57
- Over 65
- 15.0%31 of 57
- Visible minority
- 36.7%10 of 57
- Immigrants
- 29.6%9 of 57
- Indigenous identity
- 16.4%24 of 57
- Unemployment
- 9.5%13 of 57
Closest races, Winnipeg
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.