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Steinbach

MLA: Kelvin Goertzen · Progressive Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.

Progressive Conservative>99% chance of winning

  • Progressive Conservative · 63.5% projected vote>99%

2023 result

  • Kelvin Goertzen · Progressive Conservativeelected5,86874.4%
  • Gord Meneer · Manitoba NDP1,22115.5%
  • Cyndy Friesen · Liberal80110.2%
Margin
58.9%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
47.0%
Registered
16,791

2019 result

  • Kelvin Goertzen · Progressive Conservativeelected6,24181.6%
  • Robert Jessup · Manitoba NDP6168.1%
  • Janine Gibson · Green4185.5%
  • LéAmber Kensley · Liberal3704.8%

Division at a glance

2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.

Median household income
$77,00034 of 57
Renters
32.4%21 of 57
Bachelor's or higher
15.9%38 of 57
Median age
33.250 of 57
Over 65
14.1%35 of 57
Visible minority
12.5%35 of 57
Immigrants
21.6%23 of 57
Indigenous identity
9.0%42 of 57
Unemployment
5.9%48 of 57

Closest races, East

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.