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EastSafeRural
Dawson Trail
MLA: Bob Lagassé · Independent
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.
Manitoba NDP>99% chance of winning
- Manitoba NDP · 49.4% projected vote>99%
2023 result
- Bob Lagassé · Progressive Conservativeelected4,59250.7%
- Chris Wiebe · Manitoba NDP4,04944.7%
- Marcel Broesky · Green4164.6%
- Margin
- 6.0%
- Tier
- Swing
- Turnout
- 56.4%
- Registered
- 16,049
2019 result
- Bob Lagassé · Progressive Conservativeelected4,55555.4%
- Robert Rivard · Liberal1,88022.9%
- Echo Asher · Manitoba NDP1,78521.7%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.
- Median household income
- $97,00010 of 57
- Renters
- 14.4%49 of 57
- Bachelor's or higher
- 13.1%45 of 57
- Median age
- 37.236 of 57
- Over 65
- 13.6%41 of 57
- Visible minority
- 3.1%51 of 57
- Immigrants
- 8.1%43 of 57
- Indigenous identity
- 18.6%16 of 57
- Unemployment
- 6.6%46 of 57
Closest races, East
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.