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MLA: Jamie Moses · Manitoba NDP
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.
Manitoba NDP>99% chance of winning
- Manitoba NDP · 73.7% projected vote>99%
2023 result
- Jamie Moses · Manitoba NDPelected5,28861.1%
- Saima Aziz · Progressive Conservative2,53729.3%
- Peter Bastians · Liberal8239.5%
- Margin
- 31.8%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 56.6%
- Registered
- 15,287
2019 result
- Jamie Moses · Manitoba NDPelected4,09244.5%
- Colleen Mayer · Progressive Conservative3,21134.9%
- Jeffrey Anderson · Liberal1,27413.8%
- Elizabeth Dickson · Green5025.5%
- Baljeet Sharma · Independent620.7%
- David Sutherland · Other600.7%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.
- Median household income
- $65,50051 of 57
- Renters
- 52.1%4 of 57
- Bachelor's or higher
- 28.5%15 of 57
- Median age
- 40.022 of 57
- Over 65
- 20.5%14 of 57
- Visible minority
- 31.0%16 of 57
- Immigrants
- 25.7%13 of 57
- Indigenous identity
- 12.8%32 of 57
- Unemployment
- 9.6%12 of 57
Closest races, Winnipeg
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.