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MLA: Jelynn Dela Cruz · Manitoba NDP
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.
Manitoba NDP>99% chance of winning
- Manitoba NDP · 64.6% projected vote>99%
2023 result
- Jelynn Dela Cruz · Manitoba NDPelected5,95452.3%
- James Teitsma · Progressive Conservative4,80742.2%
- Jean Luc Bouché · Liberal6215.5%
- Margin
- 10.1%
- Tier
- Lean
- Turnout
- 57.4%
- Registered
- 19,838
2019 result
- James Teitsma · Progressive Conservativeelected4,52747.0%
- Raj Sandhu · Manitoba NDP3,53836.7%
- Tanya Hansen Pratt · Liberal1,00210.4%
- Carlianne Runions · Green5725.9%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.
- Median household income
- $95,00012 of 57
- Renters
- 25.8%30 of 57
- Bachelor's or higher
- 23.5%24 of 57
- Median age
- 37.238 of 57
- Over 65
- 13.9%36 of 57
- Visible minority
- 35.7%11 of 57
- Immigrants
- 29.0%10 of 57
- Indigenous identity
- 9.6%41 of 57
- Unemployment
- 8.0%30 of 57
Closest races, Winnipeg
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.