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MLA: Uzoma Asagwara · Manitoba NDP
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.
Manitoba NDP>99% chance of winning
- Manitoba NDP · 81.3% projected vote>99%
2023 result
- Uzoma Asagwara · Manitoba NDPelected3,71470.8%
- Aaron Croning · Progressive Conservative91717.5%
- Iqra Tariq · Liberal61611.7%
- Margin
- 53.3%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 41.8%
- Registered
- 12,567
2019 result
- Uzoma Asagwara · Manitoba NDPelected2,91352.6%
- Harold Davis · Liberal1,03718.7%
- Tara Fawcett · Progressive Conservative95017.2%
- Andrea Shalay · Green5389.7%
- Elsa Cubas · Other651.2%
- James Yau · Other330.6%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.
- Median household income
- $42,40057 of 57
- Renters
- 91.5%1 of 57
- Bachelor's or higher
- 26.8%17 of 57
- Median age
- 34.846 of 57
- Over 65
- 12.4%46 of 57
- Visible minority
- 48.2%7 of 57
- Immigrants
- 33.1%8 of 57
- Indigenous identity
- 18.6%15 of 57
- Unemployment
- 13.0%4 of 57
Closest races, Winnipeg
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.