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MLA: Lisa Naylor · Manitoba NDP
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.
Manitoba NDP>99% chance of winning
- Manitoba NDP · 88.2% projected vote>99%
2023 result
- Lisa Naylor · Manitoba NDPelected6,58275.3%
- Mickey Leuzzi · Progressive Conservative8619.8%
- Philip Spevack · Liberal5926.8%
- Janine G. Gibson · Green5536.3%
- Cam Scott · Other1521.7%
- Margin
- 65.5%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 53.6%
- Registered
- 16,319
2019 result
- Lisa Naylor · Manitoba NDPelected4,27146.0%
- David Nickarz · Green3,34036.0%
- Elizabeth Hildebrand · Progressive Conservative8389.0%
- Shandi Strong · Liberal7788.4%
- Eddie Hendrickson · Independent520.6%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.
- Median household income
- $67,50049 of 57
- Renters
- 48.8%6 of 57
- Bachelor's or higher
- 32.3%10 of 57
- Median age
- 36.040 of 57
- Over 65
- 11.7%48 of 57
- Visible minority
- 31.4%14 of 57
- Immigrants
- 25.7%14 of 57
- Indigenous identity
- 17.2%22 of 57
- Unemployment
- 10.0%11 of 57
Closest races, Winnipeg
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.