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Notre Dame
MLA: Malaya Marcelino · Manitoba NDP
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.
Manitoba NDP>99% chance of winning
- Manitoba NDP · 90.3% projected vote>99%
2023 result
- Malaya Marcelino · Manitoba NDPelected3,83275.6%
- Mufarrah Waheed · Progressive Conservative73214.4%
- Winston Wuttunee · Liberal3196.3%
- Micah Dewey · Green1052.1%
- Andrew Taylor · Other821.6%
- Margin
- 61.1%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 37.7%
- Registered
- 13,439
2019 result
- Malaya Marcelino · Manitoba NDPelected3,42065.0%
- Marsha Street · Progressive Conservative79415.1%
- Donovan Martin · Liberal71913.7%
- MJ Willard · Green2675.1%
- Andrew Taylor · Other330.6%
- Margaret Sturby · Other280.5%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.
- Median household income
- $67,50048 of 57
- Renters
- 44.7%8 of 57
- Bachelor's or higher
- 18.2%33 of 57
- Median age
- 35.641 of 57
- Over 65
- 11.7%50 of 57
- Visible minority
- 55.3%6 of 57
- Immigrants
- 43.4%5 of 57
- Indigenous identity
- 21.0%12 of 57
- Unemployment
- 10.7%8 of 57
Closest races, Winnipeg
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.