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MLA: Wab Kinew · Manitoba NDP
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.
Manitoba NDP>99% chance of winning
- Manitoba NDP · 77.4% projected vote>99%
2023 result
- Wab Kinew · Manitoba NDPelected6,76170.6%
- Rejeanne Caron · Progressive Conservative1,56616.3%
- Katherine Johnson · Liberal1,15212.0%
- Robert Crooks · Other1021.1%
- Margin
- 54.2%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 57.8%
- Registered
- 16,576
2019 result
- Wab Kinew · Manitoba NDPelected5,05551.2%
- Edna Nabess · Progressive Conservative1,85718.8%
- James Beddome · Green1,58016.0%
- Cyndy Friesen · Liberal1,29013.1%
- Michael McCracken · Other540.6%
- Bradley Hebert · Other300.3%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.
- Median household income
- $65,50050 of 57
- Renters
- 59.6%3 of 57
- Bachelor's or higher
- 40.2%6 of 57
- Median age
- 37.237 of 57
- Over 65
- 17.7%22 of 57
- Visible minority
- 19.8%23 of 57
- Immigrants
- 16.1%31 of 57
- Indigenous identity
- 13.5%30 of 57
- Unemployment
- 9.4%14 of 57
Closest races, Winnipeg
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.