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MLA: Billie Cross · Manitoba NDP
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 5, 2027.
Manitoba NDP>99% chance of winning
- Manitoba NDP · 65.4% projected vote>99%
2023 result
- Billie Cross · Manitoba NDPelected5,38152.1%
- Janice Morley-Lecomte · Progressive Conservative3,97438.5%
- James Bloomfield · Liberal8468.2%
- Martin J. Stadler · Independent1311.3%
- Margin
- 13.6%
- Tier
- Lean
- Turnout
- 63.4%
- Registered
- 16,293
2019 result
- Janice Morley-Lecomte · Progressive Conservativeelected4,37245.0%
- Durdana Islam · Manitoba NDP2,52526.0%
- James Bloomfield · Liberal2,15122.2%
- Bryanne Lamoureux · Green6596.8%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Manitoba Bureau of Statistics' profile of each of the 57 provincial electoral divisions, which tabulates Statistics Canada's counts for each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 57 divisions.
- Median household income
- $117,0001 of 57
- Renters
- 8.7%55 of 57
- Bachelor's or higher
- 34.4%9 of 57
- Median age
- 40.021 of 57
- Over 65
- 13.1%44 of 57
- Visible minority
- 28.3%19 of 57
- Immigrants
- 22.9%20 of 57
- Indigenous identity
- 8.7%44 of 57
- Unemployment
- 7.3%36 of 57
Closest races, Winnipeg
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Manitoba. Census profile: Manitoba Bureau of Statistics.