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Eastern OntarioSafeRural

Glengarry—Prescott—Russell

MPP: Stéphane Sarrazin · Progressive Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.

Progressive Conservative95% chance of winning

  • Progressive Conservative · 48.5% projected vote95%
  • Liberal · 38.1% projected vote5%

2025 result

  • Stéphane Sarrazin · Progressive Conservativeelected24,61851.4%
  • Trevor Stewart · Liberal17,75237.0%
  • Ryder Finlay · Ontario NDP2,3845.0%
  • Thaila Riden · Green1,0892.3%
  • Felix Labrosse · Other9712.0%
  • Brandon Wallingford · Other8001.7%
  • Jason St-Louis · Independent3210.7%
Margin
14.3%
Tier
Lean
Turnout
47.0%
Registered
101,904

2022 result

  • Stéphane Sarrazin · Progressive Conservativeelected18,66142.0%
  • Amanda Simard · Liberal17,52939.5%
  • Alicia Eglin · Ontario NDP3,7898.5%
  • Victor Brassard · Other1,9244.3%
  • Thaila Riden · Green1,6703.8%
  • Stéphane Aubry · Other8091.8%

2018 result

  • Amanda Simard · Progressive Conservativeelected19,95241.0%
  • Pierre Leroux · Liberal15,40931.6%
  • Bonnie Jean-Louis · Ontario NDP10,61021.8%
  • Daniel Bruce Reid · Green1,4272.9%
  • Joël Charbonneau · Other7551.6%
  • Darcy Neal Donnelly · Other5371.1%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.

Median household income
$95,00044 of 124
Average rent
$1,028108 of 124
Renters
21.6%81 of 124
Bachelor's or higher
17.6%95 of 124
Median age
45.622 of 124
Over 65
20.6%41 of 124
Immigrants
5.8%115 of 124
Visible minority
4.9%103 of 124
Indigenous identity
4.3%21 of 124
Unemployment
6.6%124 of 124

Closest races in Eastern Ontario

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.