Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke
MPP: Billy Denault · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Progressive Conservative>99% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 52.7% projected vote>99%
2025 result
- Billy Denault · Progressive Conservativeelected24,29754.8%
- Oliver Jacob · Liberal9,80422.1%
- Marshall Buchanan · Ontario NDP6,60714.9%
- Kevin Holm · Other1,5873.6%
- Anna Maria Dolan · Green1,1232.5%
- Mark Dickson · Other8932.0%
- Margin
- 32.7%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 48.6%
- Registered
- 91,213
2022 result
- John Yakabuski · Progressive Conservativeelected24,56361.1%
- Kurt Stoll · Ontario NDP6,87217.1%
- Oliver A. Jacob · Liberal3,9289.8%
- Thomas O'Connor · Other1,8684.7%
- Anna Dolan · Green1,4703.7%
- Kade Macwilliams · Other1,1622.9%
- Murray Reid · Other3250.8%
2018 result
- John Yakabuski · Progressive Conservativeelected33,35069.2%
- Ethel Lavalley · Ontario NDP8,06616.7%
- Jackie Agnew · Liberal4,7019.8%
- Anna Dolan · Green1,4363.0%
- Murray Reid · Other3730.8%
- Jesse Wood · Other2730.6%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $80,00088 of 124
- Average rent
- $984113 of 124
- Renters
- 24.9%71 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 14.6%112 of 124
- Median age
- 45.623 of 124
- Over 65
- 23.3%22 of 124
- Immigrants
- 5.5%116 of 124
- Visible minority
- 3.3%111 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 8.8%14 of 124
- Unemployment
- 9.2%108 of 124
Closest races in Eastern Ontario
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.