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Eastern OntarioSafeUrban

Kingston and the Islands

MPP: Ted Hsu · Liberal

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.

Liberal>99% chance of winning

  • Liberal · 61.4% projected vote>99%

2025 result

  • Ted Hsu · Liberalelected33,28861.6%
  • Ian Chapelle · Progressive Conservative12,02222.2%
  • Elliot Goodell Ugalde · Ontario NDP6,66312.3%
  • Zachary Typhair · Green1,1952.2%
  • Allan Wilson · Other5651.1%
  • James McNair · Other3310.6%
Margin
39.3%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
49.4%
Registered
109,520

2022 result

  • Ted Hsu · Liberalelected18,36037.7%
  • Mary Rita Holland · Ontario NDP15,18631.1%
  • Gary Bennett · Progressive Conservative11,97324.6%
  • Zachary Typhair · Green1,6013.3%
  • Shalea Beckwith · Other8271.7%
  • Stephen Skyvington · Other4290.9%
  • Shelley Joanne Galloway · Independent1300.3%
  • Sebastian Vaillancourt · Other1230.3%
  • Laurel Claus Johnson · Other1200.3%

2018 result

  • Ian Arthur · Ontario NDPelected21,78839.2%
  • Sophie Kiwala · Liberal15,31227.5%
  • Gary Bennett · Progressive Conservative14,51226.1%
  • Robert Kiley · Green3,5746.4%
  • Heather Cunningham · Other2740.5%
  • Andre Imbeault · Other1840.3%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.

Median household income
$78,00096 of 124
Average rent
$1,31869 of 124
Renters
45.3%22 of 124
Bachelor's or higher
31.3%51 of 124
Median age
41.267 of 124
Over 65
21.2%36 of 124
Immigrants
14.0%89 of 124
Visible minority
13.9%84 of 124
Indigenous identity
4.2%24 of 124
Unemployment
13.2%39 of 124

Closest races in Eastern Ontario

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.