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Eastern OntarioSafeRural

Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes

MPP: Steve Clark · Progressive Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.

Progressive Conservative>99% chance of winning

  • Progressive Conservative · 51.9% projected vote>99%

2025 result

  • Steve Clark · Progressive Conservativeelected25,11855.1%
  • Lorna Jean Edmonds · Liberal12,39227.2%
  • Chris Wilson · Ontario NDP4,4899.8%
  • Fiona Jager · Green1,9264.2%
  • Chris Garrah · Other7431.6%
  • Daniel Calabretta · Other5611.2%
  • Mark Snow · Other3420.8%
Margin
27.9%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
50.8%
Registered
89,653

2022 result

  • Steve Clark · Progressive Conservativeelected24,65757.7%
  • Josh Bennett · Liberal7,74618.1%
  • Chris Wilson · Ontario NDP5,79913.6%
  • Fiona Jager · Green2,5836.0%
  • Daniel Kitsch · Other9442.2%
  • Glenn L. Malcolm · Other5361.3%
  • Mark Snow · Other2020.5%
  • Stephen Ireland · Other1890.4%
  • Dave Senger · Other880.2%

2018 result

  • Steve Clark · Progressive Conservativeelected30,00261.3%
  • Michelle Taylor · Ontario NDP9,68819.8%
  • David Henderson · Liberal6,54313.4%
  • Derek Morley · Green2,3474.8%
  • Bill Buckley · Other3890.8%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.

Median household income
$82,00082 of 124
Average rent
$1,036106 of 124
Renters
21.9%79 of 124
Bachelor's or higher
17.0%99 of 124
Median age
50.84 of 124
Over 65
26.5%5 of 124
Immigrants
7.3%110 of 124
Visible minority
3.1%116 of 124
Indigenous identity
3.5%35 of 124
Unemployment
10.3%96 of 124

Closest races in Eastern Ontario

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.