Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston
MPP: John Jordan · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Progressive Conservative98% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 46.1% projected vote98%
- Liberal · 33.7% projected vote2%
2025 result
- John Jordan · Progressive Conservativeelected23,39649.1%
- Rob Rainer · Liberal15,62732.8%
- John Macrae · Ontario NDP5,03010.6%
- Marlene Spruyt · Green1,5953.4%
- Wendy Dillistone-Whitaker · Other9822.1%
- David Motton · Other6951.5%
- Shane O'Neill · Independent3280.7%
- Margin
- 16.3%
- Tier
- Lean
- Turnout
- 51.1%
- Registered
- 93,300
2022 result
- John Jordan · Progressive Conservativeelected22,14250.1%
- Drew Cumpson · Ontario NDP9,14620.7%
- Amanda Pulker-Mok · Liberal6,96215.8%
- Marlene Spruyt · Green2,9826.8%
- Thomas Mulder · Other1,6633.8%
- Marcin Lewandowski · Other7531.7%
- Chelsea Hillier · Other3240.7%
- Craig Timothy Massey Rogers · Independent2130.5%
2018 result
- Randy Hillier · Progressive Conservativeelected26,19452.0%
- Ramsey Hart · Ontario NDP15,33930.5%
- Amanda Pulker-Mok · Liberal5,35910.6%
- Anita Payne · Green2,4104.8%
- Steve Gebhardt · Other6011.2%
- John A. McEwen · Independent4400.9%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $90,00054 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,13991 of 124
- Renters
- 17.7%93 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 18.5%90 of 124
- Median age
- 49.67 of 124
- Over 65
- 24.8%14 of 124
- Immigrants
- 6.5%114 of 124
- Visible minority
- 2.9%117 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 4.3%22 of 124
- Unemployment
- 9.0%112 of 124
Closest races in Eastern Ontario
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.