Algoma—Manitoulin
MPP: Bill Rosenberg · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Progressive Conservative93% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 43.3% projected vote93%
- Ontario NDP · 34.1% projected vote7%
2025 result
- Bill Rosenberg · Progressive Conservativeelected11,26341.3%
- David Timeriski · Ontario NDP7,40927.2%
- Reg Niganobe · Liberal3,94814.5%
- Michael Mantha · Independent3,23811.9%
- Sheldon Pressey · Other7182.6%
- Maria Legault · Green6772.5%
- Margin
- 14.1%
- Tier
- Lean
- Turnout
- 48.5%
- Registered
- 56,213
2022 result
- Michael Mantha · Ontario NDPelected11,25245.9%
- Cheryl Fort · Progressive Conservative8,69235.5%
- Tim Vine · Liberal2,1338.7%
- Ron Koski · Other1,3025.3%
- Maria Legault · Green7643.1%
- Frederick Weening · Other3561.4%
2018 result
- Michael Mantha · Ontario NDPelected17,10558.6%
- Jib Turner · Progressive Conservative7,14324.4%
- Charles Fox · Liberal2,3658.1%
- Tommy Lee · Other1,3664.7%
- Justin Tilson · Green1,0253.5%
- Kalena Mallon-Ferguson · Other2070.7%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $67,500122 of 124
- Average rent
- $817123 of 124
- Renters
- 19.7%88 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 12.0%121 of 124
- Median age
- 52.42 of 124
- Over 65
- 27.8%3 of 124
- Immigrants
- 5.2%117 of 124
- Visible minority
- 1.3%124 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 22.4%4 of 124
- Unemployment
- 11.4%76 of 124
Closest races in Northern Ontario
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.