Sault Ste. Marie
MPP: Chris Scott · Independent
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Ontario NDP96% chance of winning
- Ontario NDP · 45.8% projected vote96%
- Progressive Conservative · 26.1% projected vote4%
2025 result
- Chris Scott · Progressive Conservativeelected13,07143.1%
- Lisa Vezeau-Allen · Ontario NDP12,95742.7%
- Gurwinder Dusanjh · Liberal3,03610.0%
- Arnold Heino · Other5641.9%
- Jaycob Jacques · Green4211.4%
- Paul Frolich · Other3011.0%
- Margin
- 0.4%
- Tier
- Toss-up
- Turnout
- 49.6%
- Registered
- 61,229
2022 result
- Ross Romano · Progressive Conservativeelected12,60646.9%
- Michele McCleave-Kennedy · Ontario NDP10,02937.3%
- Liam Hancock · Liberal1,6106.0%
- Naomi Sayers · Independent1,0704.0%
- S. Pankhurst · Other8943.3%
- Keagan Gilfillan · Green6752.5%
2018 result
- Ross Romano · Progressive Conservativeelected13,49842.0%
- Michele McCleave-Kennedy · Ontario NDP13,08440.7%
- Jaclynne Hamel · Liberal3,19910.0%
- Kara Flannigan · Green1,0443.3%
- Sandra Holmberg · Other9933.1%
- Lance Brizard · Other2990.9%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $73,000115 of 124
- Average rent
- $906121 of 124
- Renters
- 31.7%49 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 19.5%84 of 124
- Median age
- 47.114 of 124
- Over 65
- 24.9%13 of 124
- Immigrants
- 8.4%104 of 124
- Visible minority
- 4.1%107 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 11.8%11 of 124
- Unemployment
- 13.0%42 of 124
Closest races in Northern Ontario
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.