Mushkegowuk—James Bay
MPP: Guy Bourgouin · Ontario NDP
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Ontario NDP86% chance of winning
- Ontario NDP · 47.3% projected vote86%
- Progressive Conservative · 40.5% projected vote14%
2025 result
- Guy Bourgouin · Ontario NDPelected3,62645.4%
- Dave Plourde · Progressive Conservative3,61745.3%
- Kyle Allen · Liberal6217.8%
- Catherine Jones · Green1161.4%
- Margin
- 0.1%
- Tier
- Toss-up
- Turnout
- 40.9%
- Registered
- 19,499
2022 result
- Guy Bourgouin · Ontario NDPelected3,42347.2%
- Eric Côté · Progressive Conservative2,59435.8%
- Matthew Pronovost · Liberal85211.7%
- Mike Buckley · Other2223.1%
- Catherine Jones · Green1411.9%
- Fauzia Sadiq · Other230.3%
2018 result
- Guy Bourgouin · Ontario NDPelected4,82751.8%
- André Robichaud · Progressive Conservative2,79530.0%
- Gaetan Baillargeon · Liberal1,33214.3%
- Sarah Hutchinson · Green1671.8%
- Jacques Joseph Ouellette · Other1521.6%
- Vanda Marshall · Other380.4%
- Fauzia Sadiq · Other130.1%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $74,500111 of 124
- Average rent
- $749124 of 124
- Renters
- 28.1%62 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 9.9%123 of 124
- Median age
- 43.444 of 124
- Over 65
- 20.2%46 of 124
- Immigrants
- 2.0%124 of 124
- Visible minority
- 2.4%118 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 31.9%2 of 124
- Unemployment
- 10.1%100 of 124
Closest races in Northern Ontario
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.