Barrie—Innisfil
MPP: Andrea Khanjin · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Progressive Conservative>99% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 50.3% projected vote>99%
2025 result
- Andrea Khanjin · Progressive Conservativeelected22,04854.1%
- Dane Lee · Liberal10,61326.1%
- Andrew Harrigan · Ontario NDP5,44213.4%
- Stephen Ciesielski · Green1,6554.1%
- Sam Mangiapane · Other8142.0%
- Anna Yuryeva · Other1740.4%
- Margin
- 28.1%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 41.0%
- Registered
- 99,332
2022 result
- Andrea Khanjin · Progressive Conservativeelected18,22550.3%
- Pekka Reinio · Ontario NDP6,94219.1%
- John Olthuis · Liberal6,56418.1%
- Bonnie North · Green2,2916.3%
- Ashlyn Steele · Other1,2203.4%
- Grace Dean · Other7642.1%
- Benjamin Hughes · Independent1470.4%
- Jake Tucker · Other1190.3%
2018 result
- Andrea Khanjin · Progressive Conservativeelected22,12150.0%
- Pekka Reinio · Ontario NDP12,66128.6%
- Ann Hoggarth · Liberal5,54312.5%
- Bonnie North · Green3,1907.2%
- Brett Dorion · Other3960.9%
- Jake Tucker · Other1840.4%
- Stacey Surkova · Other1180.3%
- Alexander Ryzhykh · Other590.1%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $104,00028 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,75621 of 124
- Renters
- 20.3%87 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 19.3%86 of 124
- Median age
- 39.689 of 124
- Over 65
- 14.7%106 of 124
- Immigrants
- 19.3%82 of 124
- Visible minority
- 16.9%80 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 2.9%41 of 124
- Unemployment
- 11.9%66 of 124
Closest races in Central Ontario
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.