Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte
MPP: Doug Downey · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Progressive Conservative95% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 46.6% projected vote95%
- Liberal · 36.4% projected vote5%
2025 result
- Doug Downey · Progressive Conservativeelected20,07349.9%
- Rose Zacharias · Liberal14,33235.6%
- Tracey Lapham · Ontario NDP2,7106.7%
- Tim Grant · Green1,6374.1%
- Alex Della Ventura · Other8562.1%
- Erin Patterson · Other6371.6%
- Margin
- 14.3%
- Tier
- Lean
- Turnout
- 45.6%
- Registered
- 88,277
2022 result
- Doug Downey · Progressive Conservativeelected16,63142.1%
- Jeff Lehman · Liberal16,33541.4%
- Beverley Patchell · Ontario NDP3,0937.8%
- Elyse Robinson · Green1,6994.3%
- Hayden Hughes · Other1,1042.8%
- Gerry Auger · Other6381.6%
2018 result
- Doug Downey · Progressive Conservativeelected20,44544.8%
- Dan Janssen · Ontario NDP12,89128.2%
- Jeff Kerk · Liberal6,21013.6%
- Keenan Aylwin · Green5,35411.7%
- Mark Mitchell · Other2800.6%
- Darren Roskam · Other1740.4%
- Michael Tuck · Independent1720.4%
- Ram Faerber · Independent1630.4%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $93,00047 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,41056 of 124
- Renters
- 30.4%55 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 21.2%81 of 124
- Median age
- 41.656 of 124
- Over 65
- 18.3%64 of 124
- Immigrants
- 12.9%93 of 124
- Visible minority
- 12.0%86 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 4.0%28 of 124
- Unemployment
- 12.3%57 of 124
Closest races in Central Ontario
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.