Simcoe North
MPP: Jill Dunlop · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Progressive Conservative>99% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 48.5% projected vote>99%
2025 result
- Jill Dunlop · Progressive Conservativeelected24,84951.4%
- Walter Alvarez-Bardales · Liberal13,32827.6%
- Jordi Malcolm · Ontario NDP4,8139.9%
- Chris Carr · Green3,2146.7%
- Dave Brunelle · Other1,5823.3%
- William Joslin · Other5791.2%
- Margin
- 23.8%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 45.8%
- Registered
- 105,720
2022 result
- Jill Dunlop · Progressive Conservativeelected23,04149.8%
- Elizabeth Van Houtte · Ontario NDP8,20817.7%
- Aaron Cayden Hiltz · Liberal8,07017.4%
- Krystal Brooks · Green4,0718.8%
- Mark Douris · Other1,4383.1%
- Aaron Macdonald · Other1,1192.4%
- William Joslin · Other3180.7%
2018 result
- Jill Dunlop · Progressive Conservativeelected25,23646.9%
- Elizabeth van Houtte · Ontario NDP15,07828.0%
- Gerry Marshall · Liberal9,52317.7%
- Valerie Powell · Green3,6326.8%
- Cynthia Sneath · Other3200.6%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $79,00092 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,18488 of 124
- Renters
- 22.5%76 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 15.9%106 of 124
- Median age
- 50.06 of 124
- Over 65
- 26.3%7 of 124
- Immigrants
- 9.0%98 of 124
- Visible minority
- 4.2%105 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 10.9%12 of 124
- Unemployment
- 12.8%45 of 124
Closest races in Central Ontario
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.