Northumberland—Peterborough South
MPP: David Piccini · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Progressive Conservative99% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 48.3% projected vote99%
- Liberal · 32.7% projected vote1%
2025 result
- David Piccini · Progressive Conservativeelected28,50252.1%
- Dorothy Noronha · Liberal17,70532.4%
- Bruce Lepage · Ontario NDP5,0979.3%
- Maxwell Groves · Green1,9983.6%
- Joshua Chalhoub · Other7171.3%
- Florian Bors · Other6731.2%
- Margin
- 19.7%
- Tier
- Lean
- Turnout
- 51.9%
- Registered
- 105,390
2022 result
- David Piccini · Progressive Conservativeelected26,41950.9%
- Jeff Kawzenuk · Liberal12,93624.9%
- Kim McArthur-Jackson · Ontario NDP6,80613.1%
- Lisa Francis · Green2,9425.7%
- Vanessa Head · Other1,5983.1%
- Joshua Chalhoub · Other1,1702.3%
2018 result
- David Piccini · Progressive Conservativeelected27,38645.3%
- Jana Papuckoski · Ontario NDP14,80424.5%
- Lou Rinaldi · Liberal14,60324.2%
- Jeff Wheeldon · Green2,7404.5%
- John O'Keefe · Other4250.7%
- Derek Sharp · Other2780.5%
- Paul Cragg · Other1870.3%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $88,00058 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,24876 of 124
- Renters
- 17.4%95 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 17.2%96 of 124
- Median age
- 50.45 of 124
- Over 65
- 27.0%4 of 124
- Immigrants
- 10.4%95 of 124
- Visible minority
- 5.1%102 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 3.7%31 of 124
- Unemployment
- 10.6%93 of 124
Closest races in Central Ontario
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.