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Central OntarioSafeRural

Dufferin—Caledon

MPP: Sylvia Jones · Progressive Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.

Progressive Conservative>99% chance of winning

  • Progressive Conservative · 49.1% projected vote>99%

2025 result

  • Sylvia Jones · Progressive Conservativeelected26,07252.5%
  • Michael Dehn · Liberal12,60625.4%
  • Sandy Brown · Green6,15712.4%
  • George Nakitsas · Ontario NDP3,1846.4%
  • Kris Eggleton · Other1,0742.2%
  • Jeffrey Halsall · Independent3840.8%
  • Alexey Cherkashov · Other1970.4%
Margin
27.1%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
42.5%
Registered
116,755

2022 result

  • Sylvia Jones · Progressive Conservativeelected22,91149.7%
  • Bob Gordanier · Liberal8,67818.8%
  • Laura Campbell · Green6,51814.1%
  • Tess Prendergast · Ontario NDP4,96710.8%
  • Andrea Banyai · Other2,2804.9%
  • Lily Nguyen · Other5891.3%
  • Erickumar Emmanuel · Other1050.2%
  • Kay Sayer · Other790.2%

2018 result

  • Sylvia Jones · Progressive Conservativeelected29,70453.1%
  • Andrea Mullarkey · Ontario NDP11,38120.3%
  • Laura Campbell · Green7,01112.5%
  • Bob Gordanier · Liberal6,97212.5%
  • Jeff Harris · Other4300.8%
  • Stephen McKendrick · Other3010.5%
  • C. Andrew Nowell · Other1570.3%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.

Median household income
$120,00013 of 124
Average rent
$1,54442 of 124
Renters
14.1%116 of 124
Bachelor's or higher
22.9%73 of 124
Median age
40.875 of 124
Over 65
15.4%93 of 124
Immigrants
23.1%72 of 124
Visible minority
25.0%70 of 124
Indigenous identity
1.4%72 of 124
Unemployment
10.7%92 of 124

Closest races in Central Ontario

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.