Simcoe—Grey
MPP: Brian Saunderson · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Progressive Conservative>99% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 49.9% projected vote>99%
- Liberal · 32.8% projected vote<1%
2025 result
- Brian Saunderson · Progressive Conservativeelected30,57253.6%
- Ted Crysler · Liberal18,50732.4%
- Benten Tinkler · Ontario NDP3,2645.7%
- Allan Kuhn · Green3,1545.5%
- David Ghobrial · Other1,5542.7%
- Margin
- 21.1%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 43.9%
- Registered
- 130,012
2022 result
- Brian Saunderson · Progressive Conservativeelected27,06751.2%
- Ted Crysler · Liberal11,68722.1%
- Keith Nunn · Ontario NDP5,84911.1%
- Allan Kuhn · Green4,7429.0%
- David Ghobrial · Other2,1474.1%
- Rodney Sacrey · Other1,0392.0%
- Billy G Gordon · Other3550.7%
2018 result
- Jim Wilson · Progressive Conservativeelected34,09455.9%
- David Matthews · Ontario NDP13,44422.1%
- Dan Hambly · Liberal8,78014.4%
- Jesseca Perry · Green4,1926.9%
- John Wright · Other4530.7%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $95,00045 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,44251 of 124
- Renters
- 17.4%94 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 19.0%88 of 124
- Median age
- 45.628 of 124
- Over 65
- 22.9%23 of 124
- Immigrants
- 14.9%85 of 124
- Visible minority
- 9.7%92 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 2.5%48 of 124
- Unemployment
- 10.8%84 of 124
Closest races in Central Ontario
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.