Beaches—East York
MPP: Mary-Margaret McMahon · Liberal
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Liberal>99% chance of winning
- Liberal · 50.9% projected vote>99%
2025 result
- Mary-Margaret McMahon · Liberalelected21,54551.2%
- Kate Dupuis · Ontario NDP9,66022.9%
- Anna Michaelidis · Progressive Conservative9,00121.4%
- Jack Pennings · Green1,2983.1%
- Thomas Gregory · Other2460.6%
- Paul Stark · Other1250.3%
- Dragan Cimesa · Independent1220.3%
- Bahman Yazdanfar · Other1070.3%
- Margin
- 28.2%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 49.8%
- Registered
- 84,615
2022 result
- Mary-Margaret McMahon · Liberalelected14,39835.4%
- Kate Dupuis · Ontario NDP13,50033.2%
- Angela Kennedy · Progressive Conservative7,53618.5%
- Abhijeet Manay · Green4,15410.2%
- Stephen Roney · Other4411.1%
- John Ferguson · Other3100.8%
- Drew Garvie · Other1200.3%
- Joe Ring · Other1110.3%
- Bahman Yazdanfar · Other780.2%
2018 result
- Rima Berns-McGown · Ontario NDPelected24,06448.2%
- Arthur Potts · Liberal13,48027.0%
- Sarah Mallo · Progressive Conservative9,20218.4%
- Debra Scott · Green2,1284.3%
- Thomas Armstrong · Other4580.9%
- Andrew Balodis · Independent1610.3%
- Regina Mundrugo · Other1170.2%
- Joe Ring · Other1040.2%
- Bahman Yazdanfar · Other740.1%
- Eric Brazau · Other680.1%
- Tony Chipman · Other580.1%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $90,00052 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,37062 of 124
- Renters
- 44.2%26 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 42.8%21 of 124
- Median age
- 41.264 of 124
- Over 65
- 15.3%97 of 124
- Immigrants
- 31.7%50 of 124
- Visible minority
- 36.1%44 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 1.8%64 of 124
- Unemployment
- 13.4%32 of 124
Closest races in Toronto
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.