Scarborough—Agincourt
MPP: Aris Babikian · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Progressive Conservative70% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 45.2% projected vote70%
- Liberal · 41.9% projected vote30%
2025 result
- Aris Babikian · Progressive Conservativeelected13,46849.4%
- Peter Yuen · Liberal11,43041.9%
- Francesca Policarpio · Ontario NDP1,3685.0%
- Stephanie Leblanc · Green5562.0%
- Johan Yogaretnam · Other2490.9%
- Donahue Morgan · Other2000.7%
- Margin
- 7.5%
- Tier
- Swing
- Turnout
- 37.1%
- Registered
- 73,529
2022 result
- Aris Babikian · Progressive Conservativeelected14,04049.0%
- Soo Wong · Liberal10,67237.3%
- Benjamin Lee Truong · Ontario NDP2,5128.8%
- Jacqueline Scott · Green6282.2%
- Donny Morgan · Other4921.7%
- Rane Vega · Other2921.0%
2018 result
- Aris Babikian · Progressive Conservativeelected18,58250.4%
- Soo Wong · Liberal10,42928.3%
- Tasleem Riaz · Ontario NDP6,43417.4%
- Lydia West · Green6351.7%
- Mark Sinclair · Other2440.7%
- Jude Coutinho · Independent1890.5%
- Rubina Ansary · Other1480.4%
- Carlos Lacuna · Other1180.3%
- Badih Rawdah · Other920.3%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $77,00099 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,35866 of 124
- Renters
- 33.8%40 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 32.0%48 of 124
- Median age
- 45.627 of 124
- Over 65
- 23.5%21 of 124
- Immigrants
- 63.7%2 of 124
- Visible minority
- 82.3%6 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 0.4%112 of 124
- Unemployment
- 16.4%7 of 124
Closest races in Toronto
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.