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Willowdale

MPP: Stan Cho · Progressive Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.

Liberal62% chance of winning

  • Liberal · 44.2% projected vote62%
  • Progressive Conservative · 42.1% projected vote38%

2025 result

  • Stan Cho · Progressive Conservativeelected14,47646.3%
  • Paul Saguil · Liberal13,87144.4%
  • Boris Ivanov · Ontario NDP1,7055.5%
  • Sharolyn Vettese · Green7782.5%
  • Lilya Eklishaeva · Independent2220.7%
  • Pit Goyal · Other2210.7%
Margin
1.9%
Tier
Toss-up
Turnout
37.2%
Registered
84,081

2022 result

  • Stan Cho · Progressive Conservativeelected14,10544.7%
  • Paul Saguil · Liberal11,99038.0%
  • Hal David Berman · Ontario NDP3,25310.3%
  • Monica Henriques · Green1,1433.6%
  • Joanne Csillag · Other3921.2%
  • Gian Pietro Arella · Other3381.1%
  • Ben Barone · Other1040.3%
  • Lilya Eklishaeva · Other980.3%
  • Birinder Singh Ahluwalia · Independent710.2%
  • Charles Roddy Sutherland · Independent610.2%
  • Jaime Rodriguez · Other280.1%

2018 result

  • Stan Cho · Progressive Conservativeelected17,73243.6%
  • David Zimmer · Liberal10,81526.6%
  • Saman Tabasinejad · Ontario NDP10,48125.8%
  • Randi Ramdeen · Green9322.3%
  • Catherine Macdonald-Robertson · Other4531.1%
  • Birinder S Ahluwalia · Independent2330.6%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.

Median household income
$81,00086 of 124
Average rent
$1,88014 of 124
Renters
42.0%30 of 124
Bachelor's or higher
55.0%6 of 124
Median age
39.691 of 124
Over 65
18.0%66 of 124
Immigrants
60.2%7 of 124
Visible minority
71.0%17 of 124
Indigenous identity
0.3%117 of 124
Unemployment
12.7%48 of 124

Closest races in Toronto

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.