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TorontoSwingUrban

Eglinton—Lawrence

MPP: Michelle Cooper · Progressive Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.

Liberal71% chance of winning

  • Liberal · 45.1% projected vote71%
  • Progressive Conservative · 41.4% projected vote29%

2025 result

  • Michelle Cooper · Progressive Conservativeelected19,55648.5%
  • Vince Gasparro · Liberal19,38948.1%
  • Leah Tysoe · Green1,3903.5%
Margin
0.4%
Tier
Toss-up
Turnout
46.4%
Registered
86,989

2022 result

  • Robin Martin · Progressive Conservativeelected16,60542.3%
  • Arlena Hebert · Liberal16,08141.0%
  • Natasha Doyle-Merrick · Ontario NDP3,8019.7%
  • Leah Tysoe · Green1,5133.9%
  • Erwin E. Sniedzins · Other3931.0%
  • Lauren Dearing · Other2680.7%
  • Sam Kaplun · Independent2160.6%
  • Derek Sharp · Other1660.4%
  • Jonathan Davis · Other1170.3%
  • Bryant Thompson · Other980.3%

2018 result

  • Robin Martin · Progressive Conservativeelected19,99940.4%
  • Mike Colle · Liberal19,04238.5%
  • Robyn Vilde · Ontario NDP8,98518.1%
  • Reuben Anthony Deboer · Green1,1902.4%
  • Michael Staffieri · Other2110.4%
  • Lionel Wayne Poizner · Other1000.2%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.

Median household income
$97,00042 of 124
Average rent
$1,58837 of 124
Renters
46.6%19 of 124
Bachelor's or higher
47.1%11 of 124
Median age
41.265 of 124
Over 65
17.9%69 of 124
Immigrants
39.0%40 of 124
Visible minority
36.8%43 of 124
Indigenous identity
0.6%102 of 124
Unemployment
12.2%61 of 124

Closest races in Toronto

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.