Scarborough Centre
MPP: David Smith · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Liberal64% chance of winning
- Liberal · 42.4% projected vote64%
- Progressive Conservative · 40.0% projected vote36%
2025 result
- David Smith · Progressive Conservativeelected13,36344.0%
- Mazhar Shafiq · Liberal12,83942.3%
- Sonali Chakraborti · Ontario NDP2,6288.7%
- Dean Boulding · Green9183.0%
- Gus Prokos · Other3791.3%
- Haseeb Qureshi · Other2110.7%
- Margin
- 1.7%
- Tier
- Toss-up
- Turnout
- 38.3%
- Registered
- 79,287
2022 result
- David Smith · Progressive Conservativeelected11,47136.0%
- Mazhar Shafiq · Liberal9,67830.4%
- Neethan Shan · Ontario NDP8,35826.2%
- Fatima Faruq · Green8922.8%
- Serge Korovitsyn · Other3921.2%
- Hidie Jaber · Other3551.1%
- Raphael Rosch · Other2970.9%
- Kostadinos Stefanis · Independent1960.6%
- Paul Beatty · Independent1560.5%
- Maria Tzvetanova · Other740.2%
2018 result
- Christina Mitas · Progressive Conservativeelected15,26638.5%
- Zeyd Bismilla · Ontario NDP13,24733.4%
- Mazhar Shafiq · Liberal8,79122.1%
- Matthew Dougherty · Other1,0402.6%
- Sanjin Zeco · Green9192.3%
- Chris Mellor · Other4411.1%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $78,50094 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,33867 of 124
- Renters
- 43.2%28 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 28.8%60 of 124
- Median age
- 40.086 of 124
- Over 65
- 17.4%73 of 124
- Immigrants
- 55.3%17 of 124
- Visible minority
- 74.4%16 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 0.6%99 of 124
- Unemployment
- 15.7%13 of 124
Closest races in Toronto
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.