York South—Weston
MPP: Mohamed Firin · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Liberal65% chance of winning
- Liberal · 34.7% projected vote65%
- Progressive Conservative · 31.3% projected vote26%
- Ontario NDP · 28.5% projected vote9%
2025 result
- Mohamed Firin · Progressive Conservativeelected11,14235.2%
- Daniel Di Giorgio · Liberal10,94034.6%
- Faisal Hassan · Ontario NDP8,10125.6%
- Lilian Barrera · Green8442.7%
- Victor Ehikwe · Other3961.3%
- K. Ann Thomas · Independent2130.7%
- Margin
- 0.6%
- Tier
- Toss-up
- Turnout
- 38.3%
- Registered
- 82,710
2022 result
- Michael Ford · Progressive Conservativeelected11,13836.6%
- Faisal Hassan · Ontario NDP10,34234.0%
- Nadia Guerrera · Liberal7,37724.2%
- Ignacio Mongrell Gonzalez · Green7702.5%
- Tom Hipsz · Other3451.1%
- Ana Gabriela Ortiz · Other2510.8%
- James Michael Fields · Independent2090.7%
2018 result
- Faisal Hassan · Ontario NDPelected13,45536.1%
- Mark Demontis · Progressive Conservative12,29033.0%
- Laura Albanese · Liberal10,37927.8%
- Grad Murray · Green9462.5%
- Bonnie Hu · Other2280.6%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $71,500117 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,19685 of 124
- Renters
- 51.9%12 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 18.4%91 of 124
- Median age
- 40.483 of 124
- Over 65
- 16.6%85 of 124
- Immigrants
- 50.3%25 of 124
- Visible minority
- 58.0%27 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 0.8%91 of 124
- Unemployment
- 16.4%9 of 124
Closest races in Toronto
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.