Scarborough—Rouge Park
MPP: Vijay Thanigasalam · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Progressive Conservative77% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 44.8% projected vote77%
- Liberal · 40.1% projected vote23%
2025 result
- Vijay Thanigasalam · Progressive Conservativeelected16,35749.2%
- Morris Beckford · Liberal13,38540.2%
- Hibah Sidat · Ontario NDP2,3607.1%
- Victoria Jewt · Green7272.2%
- Timothy James · Other3261.0%
- Wai Kiat Tang · Other1140.3%
- Margin
- 8.9%
- Tier
- Swing
- Turnout
- 42.2%
- Registered
- 78,813
2022 result
- Vijay Thanigasalam · Progressive Conservativeelected15,98945.3%
- Manal Abdullahi · Liberal9,78427.7%
- Felicia Samuel · Ontario NDP7,74221.9%
- Priyan De Silva · Green8502.4%
- Gordon Kerr · Other5231.5%
- Christopher Bressi · Other2850.8%
- Matthew Oliver · Other1390.4%
2018 result
- Vijay Thanigasalam · Progressive Conservativeelected16,22438.6%
- Felicia Samuel · Ontario NDP15,26136.3%
- Sumi Shan · Liberal8,78520.9%
- Priyan de Silva · Green1,0142.4%
- Todd Byers · Other5821.4%
- Amit Mahendra Pitamber · Other1490.3%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $105,00027 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,36265 of 124
- Renters
- 20.6%83 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 29.2%58 of 124
- Median age
- 42.054 of 124
- Over 65
- 19.3%57 of 124
- Immigrants
- 51.9%21 of 124
- Visible minority
- 75.6%12 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 0.7%94 of 124
- Unemployment
- 15.0%18 of 124
Closest races in Toronto
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.