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Southwestern OntarioSafeUrban

Brantford—Brant

MPP: Will Bouma · Progressive Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.

Progressive Conservative>99% chance of winning

  • Progressive Conservative · 44.1% projected vote>99%
  • Ontario NDP · 26.9% projected vote<1%

2025 result

  • Will Bouma · Progressive Conservativeelected24,16947.2%
  • Harvey Bischof · Ontario NDP12,00523.5%
  • Ron Fox · Liberal10,36420.3%
  • Karleigh Csordas · Green2,5975.1%
  • Joshua Carron · Other1,1382.2%
  • Rob Ferguson · Other5001.0%
  • Mike Clancy · Other3160.6%
  • James Carruthers · Other830.2%
Margin
23.8%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
43.1%
Registered
118,761

2022 result

  • Will Bouma · Progressive Conservativeelected20,73844.2%
  • Harvey Bischof · Ontario NDP13,28328.3%
  • Ruby Toor · Liberal6,08313.0%
  • Karleigh Csordas · Green3,1746.8%
  • Tad Brudzinski · Other2,0894.5%
  • Allan Wilson · Other6401.4%
  • Leslie Bory · Other4901.0%
  • Rob Ferguson · Other2990.6%
  • John Turmel · Independent1570.3%

2018 result

  • Will Bouma · Progressive Conservativeelected24,43742.0%
  • Alex Felsky · Ontario NDP23,80240.9%
  • Ruby Toor · Liberal5,5539.5%
  • Ken Burns · Green2,7414.7%
  • Dave Wrobel · Other5340.9%
  • Nicholas Archer · Other4240.7%
  • Rob Ferguson · Other3790.7%
  • Leslie Bory · Other2580.4%
  • John Turmel · Other600.1%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.

Median household income
$85,00069 of 124
Average rent
$1,20081 of 124
Renters
28.8%60 of 124
Bachelor's or higher
17.1%98 of 124
Median age
41.657 of 124
Over 65
19.3%56 of 124
Immigrants
14.3%86 of 124
Visible minority
13.3%85 of 124
Indigenous identity
5.0%18 of 124
Unemployment
11.5%74 of 124

Closest races in Southwestern Ontario

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.