Windsor—Tecumseh
MPP: Andrew Dowie · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Progressive Conservative95% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 45.3% projected vote95%
- Ontario NDP · 34.8% projected vote5%
2025 result
- Andrew Dowie · Progressive Conservativeelected21,28548.1%
- Gemma Grey-Hall · Ontario NDP13,72131.0%
- Connor Logan · Liberal6,33714.3%
- Roxanne Tellier · Green8301.9%
- Steven Gifford · Other7171.6%
- Sophia Sevo · Other7071.6%
- Kyle Ford · Other6061.4%
- Margin
- 17.1%
- Tier
- Lean
- Turnout
- 44.9%
- Registered
- 98,508
2022 result
- Andrew Dowie · Progressive Conservativeelected17,69245.9%
- Gemma Grey-Hall · Ontario NDP11,55130.0%
- Gary Kaschak · Liberal5,59814.5%
- Steven Gifford · Other1,2193.2%
- Melissa Coulbeck · Green1,0022.6%
- Sophia Sevo · Other7862.0%
- Laura Chesnik · Independent2040.5%
- David Sylvestre · Other1790.5%
- Nick Babic · Independent1730.5%
- Giovanni Abati · Independent1470.4%
2018 result
- Percy Hatfield · Ontario NDPelected25,22158.4%
- Mohammad Latif · Progressive Conservative11,67727.0%
- Remy Boulbol · Liberal3,5138.1%
- Henry Oulevey · Green1,9094.4%
- Laura Chesnik · Independent8632.0%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $77,000100 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,066103 of 124
- Renters
- 29.7%58 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 21.3%80 of 124
- Median age
- 44.040 of 124
- Over 65
- 21.4%33 of 124
- Immigrants
- 24.4%68 of 124
- Visible minority
- 21.1%78 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 3.1%37 of 124
- Unemployment
- 18.1%3 of 124
Closest races in Southwestern Ontario
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.