Haldimand—Norfolk
MPP: Bobbi Ann Brady · Independent
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Independent75% chance of winning
- Independent · 47.5% projected vote75%
- Progressive Conservative · 31.1% projected vote25%
2025 result
- Bobbi Ann Brady · Independentelected33,66963.6%
- Amy Martin · Progressive Conservative12,94924.5%
- Vandan Patel · Liberal2,9185.5%
- Erica Englert · Ontario NDP2,1474.1%
- Anna Massinen · Green8211.6%
- Garry Tanchak · Other3920.7%
- Margin
- 39.2%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 54.0%
- Registered
- 97,954
2022 result
- Bobbi Ann Brady · Independentelected15,92135.0%
- Ken Hewitt · Progressive Conservative13,85130.5%
- Sarah Lowe · Ontario NDP6,31113.9%
- Aziz Chouhdery · Liberal3,3297.3%
- Sheldon Simpson · Other2,3535.2%
- Erik Coverdale · Green1,8414.0%
- Nate Hawkins · Other1,4543.2%
- Thecla Ross · Other2680.6%
- George McMorrow · Independent990.2%
2018 result
- Toby Barrett · Progressive Conservativeelected28,88957.1%
- Danielle du Sablon · Ontario NDP13,60926.9%
- Dan Matten · Liberal4,6569.2%
- Anne Faulkner · Green2,0954.1%
- Dan Preston · Other8171.6%
- Christopher Rosser · Other2510.5%
- Thecla Ross · Other1600.3%
- Wasyl Ivan Luczkiw · Other640.1%
- Carolyn Ritchie · Other520.1%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $86,00065 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,066102 of 124
- Renters
- 17.0%102 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 12.3%120 of 124
- Median age
- 46.416 of 124
- Over 65
- 23.6%20 of 124
- Immigrants
- 9.9%97 of 124
- Visible minority
- 4.2%106 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 3.5%33 of 124
- Unemployment
- 9.4%106 of 124
Closest races in Southwestern Ontario
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.