Wellington—Halton Hills
MPP: Joseph Racinsky · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Progressive Conservative99% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 42.4% projected vote99%
- Liberal · 28.2% projected vote1%
2025 result
- Joseph Racinsky · Progressive Conservativeelected24,63745.6%
- Alex Hilson · Liberal14,87427.6%
- Bronwynne Wilton · Green8,46415.7%
- Simone Kent · Ontario NDP3,9807.4%
- Stephen Kitras · Other1,4172.6%
- Jason Medland · Other3980.7%
- Ron Patava · Independent1990.4%
- Margin
- 18.1%
- Tier
- Lean
- Turnout
- 50.2%
- Registered
- 107,532
2022 result
- Ted Arnott · Progressive Conservativeelected25,04950.6%
- Diane Ballantyne · Ontario NDP7,72415.6%
- Ryan Kahro · Green7,00214.2%
- Tom Takacs · Liberal6,92014.0%
- Stephen Kitras · Other2,5485.2%
- Ron Patava · Other2500.5%
2018 result
- Ted Arnott · Progressive Conservativeelected31,65954.0%
- Diane Ballantyne · Ontario NDP14,08724.0%
- Jon Hurst · Liberal7,49212.8%
- Dave Rodgers · Green5,0668.6%
- Jadon Pfeiffer · Other3200.6%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $119,00017 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,41057 of 124
- Renters
- 14.5%113 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 25.2%69 of 124
- Median age
- 43.643 of 124
- Over 65
- 17.9%68 of 124
- Immigrants
- 16.3%84 of 124
- Visible minority
- 10.6%89 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 1.8%65 of 124
- Unemployment
- 8.7%115 of 124
Closest races in Southwestern Ontario
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.