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Southwestern OntarioLeanUrban

Cambridge

MPP: Brian Riddell · Progressive Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.

Progressive Conservative80% chance of winning

  • Progressive Conservative · 40.8% projected vote80%
  • Liberal · 35.5% projected vote20%

2025 result

  • Brian Riddell · Progressive Conservativeelected19,21043.7%
  • Rob Deutschmann · Liberal15,13134.4%
  • Marjorie Knight · Ontario NDP5,07411.5%
  • Carla Johnson · Green2,5195.7%
  • Belinda Karahalios · Other2,0674.7%
Margin
9.3%
Tier
Swing
Turnout
45.6%
Registered
96,578

2022 result

  • Brian Riddell · Progressive Conservativeelected14,59037.0%
  • Marjorie Knight · Ontario NDP8,74522.2%
  • Surekha Shenoy · Liberal8,15520.7%
  • Belinda Karahalios · Other4,37411.1%
  • Carla Johnson · Green3,5379.0%

2018 result

  • Belinda Karahalios · Progressive Conservativeelected17,79337.0%
  • Marjorie Knight · Ontario NDP15,63932.5%
  • Kathryn McGarry · Liberal11,19123.3%
  • Michele Braniff · Green3,0186.3%
  • Allan Dettweiler · Other4901.0%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.

Median household income
$91,00051 of 124
Average rent
$1,27473 of 124
Renters
32.0%48 of 124
Bachelor's or higher
19.1%87 of 124
Median age
40.084 of 124
Over 65
16.9%80 of 124
Immigrants
22.1%74 of 124
Visible minority
21.7%75 of 124
Indigenous identity
1.8%63 of 124
Unemployment
11.3%77 of 124

Closest races in Southwestern Ontario

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.