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Southwestern OntarioSafeUrban

Kitchener South—Hespeler

MPP: Jess Dixon · Progressive Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.

Progressive Conservative>99% chance of winning

  • Progressive Conservative · 41.5% projected vote>99%
  • Liberal · 26.0% projected vote<1%

2025 result

  • Jess Dixon · Progressive Conservativeelected17,36345.4%
  • Ismail Mohamed · Liberal9,83025.7%
  • Jeff Donkersgoed · Ontario NDP6,84117.9%
  • Jessica Riley · Green3,3458.8%
  • John Soule · Other8462.2%
Margin
19.7%
Tier
Lean
Turnout
43.7%
Registered
87,520

2022 result

  • Jess Dixon · Progressive Conservativeelected13,76839.9%
  • Joanne Weston · Ontario NDP9,11826.4%
  • Ismail Mohamed · Liberal5,62916.3%
  • David Weber · Green3,99311.6%
  • John Teat · Other1,4364.2%
  • David Gillies · Other5521.6%

2018 result

  • Amy Fee · Progressive Conservativeelected16,51138.9%
  • Fitzroy Vanderpool · Ontario NDP15,74137.0%
  • Surekha Shenoy · Liberal6,33514.9%
  • David Weber · Green3,1987.5%
  • Nathan Andre Lajeunesse · Other4231.0%
  • Narine Sookram · Independent2750.7%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.

Median household income
$96,00043 of 124
Average rent
$1,43853 of 124
Renters
32.9%44 of 124
Bachelor's or higher
26.7%64 of 124
Median age
36.8117 of 124
Over 65
13.4%115 of 124
Immigrants
29.6%54 of 124
Visible minority
33.9%55 of 124
Indigenous identity
1.7%66 of 124
Unemployment
10.8%89 of 124

Closest races in Southwestern Ontario

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.