Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound
MPP: Paul Vickers · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Progressive Conservative96% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 41.8% projected vote96%
- Liberal · 30.9% projected vote4%
2025 result
- Paul Vickers · Progressive Conservativeelected20,15844.1%
- Selwyn J. Hicks · Liberal13,44529.4%
- Joel Loughead · Green5,69312.5%
- James Harris · Ontario NDP3,6117.9%
- Ann Gillies · Other1,0062.2%
- Vincent Grimaldi · Other9302.0%
- Michael Butt · Other6811.5%
- Matt Fritz · Other1480.3%
- Margin
- 14.7%
- Tier
- Lean
- Turnout
- 49.5%
- Registered
- 92,278
2022 result
- Rick Byers · Progressive Conservativeelected20,30448.6%
- Selwyn J. Hicks · Liberal8,49920.3%
- Karen Gventer · Ontario NDP5,81713.9%
- Danielle Valiquette · Green3,7028.8%
- Suzanne Coles · Other1,6804.0%
- Vince Grimaldi · Other1,1302.7%
- Joseph Westover · Other2480.6%
- Joel Loughead · Other2300.6%
- Reima Kaikkonen · Independent2010.5%
2018 result
- Bill Walker · Progressive Conservativeelected26,87454.7%
- Karen Gventer · Ontario NDP11,83724.1%
- Francesca Dobbyn · Liberal6,04112.3%
- Don B. Marshall · Green2,9276.0%
- Elizabeth Liz Marshall · Other5521.1%
- Enos Martin · Other4420.9%
- Janice Kaikkonen · Other2610.5%
- Jay Miller · Other1940.4%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $75,000106 of 124
- Average rent
- $1,001112 of 124
- Renters
- 21.6%80 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 14.8%110 of 124
- Median age
- 49.28 of 124
- Over 65
- 26.5%6 of 124
- Immigrants
- 7.8%107 of 124
- Visible minority
- 3.9%108 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 3.9%29 of 124
- Unemployment
- 9.1%109 of 124
Closest races in Southwestern Ontario
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.