Chatham-Kent—Leamington
MPP: Trevor Jones · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.
Progressive Conservative>99% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 51.9% projected vote>99%
2025 result
- Trevor Jones · Progressive Conservativeelected22,25552.0%
- Bill Kirby · Liberal7,85618.4%
- Christian Sachs · Ontario NDP7,33317.1%
- Rhonda Jubenville · Other3,3877.9%
- Matthew Davey · Green1,2412.9%
- Phillip St-Laurent · Other7041.6%
- Margin
- 33.7%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 47.9%
- Registered
- 89,308
2022 result
- Trevor Jones · Progressive Conservativeelected17,52247.5%
- Brock McGregor · Ontario NDP11,16330.3%
- Rick Nicholls · Other5,47814.9%
- Rhonda Jubenville · Other1,4634.0%
- Jennifer Surerus · Green1,2443.4%
2018 result
- Rick Nicholls · Progressive Conservativeelected24,07851.9%
- Jordan McGrail · Ontario NDP16,55835.7%
- Margaret Schleier Stahl · Liberal3,7368.1%
- Mark Vercouteren · Green1,6433.5%
- Drew Barry John Simpson · Independent3580.8%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.
- Median household income
- $74,000112 of 124
- Average rent
- $973115 of 124
- Renters
- 28.7%61 of 124
- Bachelor's or higher
- 12.9%117 of 124
- Median age
- 44.833 of 124
- Over 65
- 22.7%25 of 124
- Immigrants
- 13.7%91 of 124
- Visible minority
- 10.6%90 of 124
- Indigenous identity
- 3.4%36 of 124
- Unemployment
- 10.8%90 of 124
Closest races in Southwestern Ontario
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.