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Davenport

MPP: Marit Stiles · Ontario NDP

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; Ontario has no fixed election date, and the House must be dissolved by March 7, 2030.

Ontario NDP>99% chance of winning

  • Ontario NDP · 59.5% projected vote>99%

2025 result

  • Marit Stiles · Ontario NDPelected22,14357.1%
  • Paulo Pereira · Liberal7,98320.6%
  • Nick Pavlov · Progressive Conservative6,93717.9%
  • Randi Ramdeen · Green1,1843.0%
  • Dave McKee · Other5561.4%
Margin
36.5%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
45.9%
Registered
84,624

2022 result

  • Marit Stiles · Ontario NDPelected20,24257.1%
  • Jerry Levitan · Liberal6,81519.2%
  • Paul Spence · Progressive Conservative4,99414.1%
  • Karen Stephenson · Green1,7104.8%
  • Diti Coutinho · Other4001.1%
  • Mario Bilusic · Other3951.1%
  • Nunzio Venuto · Other3751.1%
  • Jack Copple · Other3260.9%
  • Nicholas Alexander · Independent1390.4%
  • Simon Fogel · Independent770.2%

2018 result

  • Marit Stiles · Ontario NDPelected27,61360.3%
  • Cristina Martins · Liberal8,55818.7%
  • Federico Sanchez · Progressive Conservative7,37016.1%
  • Kirsten Snider · Green1,6243.5%
  • Nunzio Venuto · Other2100.5%
  • Dave McKee · Other1520.3%
  • Franz Cauchi · Other1270.3%
  • Troy Young · Other960.2%
  • Chai Kalevar · Other690.1%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Ontario's provincial districts, but the 111 southern ones share their lines with the 2013 federal ridings, so their figures are the census's own for those ridings. The 13 northern districts are built from the dissemination areas inside each one: counts are sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 124 districts.

Median household income
$85,00070 of 124
Average rent
$1,55241 of 124
Renters
48.2%17 of 124
Bachelor's or higher
37.5%32 of 124
Median age
38.499 of 124
Over 65
14.3%108 of 124
Immigrants
37.9%41 of 124
Visible minority
33.6%56 of 124
Indigenous identity
1.1%82 of 124
Unemployment
13.1%40 of 124

Closest races in Toronto

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Source: Elections Ontario (results, and boundaries under its Open Use Data Product Licence). Census: Statistics Canada.